Hold on... bumpy markets ahead
Written on the 2 March 2020 by Arrow
After period of optimism, global investment markets have hit the panic button on fears about the possible economic impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19).
At times like these, it's good to get some perspective.
Australian shares rose 24 per cent last year, touching record highs, and 10 per cent a year over the past seven years. Global shares rose 28 per cent last year and 17 per cent over the past seven years.i After such a good run, many observers have been saying shares were looking fully valued and that a correction was likely.
The thing with market corrections is that it is impossible to predict what will trigger them or how long and severe they will be.
Avoid knee-jerk reactions
While the urge to act and protect your savings is understandable, knee-jerk reactions can be a mistake.
It's near impossible to time the markets. Not only do you risk selling when prices are near rock-bottom, but you also risk sitting on the sidelines during as the market recovers. As history tells us it always does.
In an ever-changing world, the basics of investing stay the same. By sticking to some timeless rules it's much easier to avoid emotionally driven reactions and focus on your investment horizon.
Have a plan
Think about your personal and financial goals and what you want to achieve in 1,5,10, 20 years' time. Be specific, put a dollar figure on your goals and plan how to reach them.
Low risk comes with lower returns
Perhaps the biggest risk of all is not earning the returns you need to achieve your goals. While domestic and international shares produced stellar returns last year, cash returned just 1.5 per cent which was below the level inflation. Cash returns were not much better over the past seven years, averaging 2.2 per cent a year.
Spread your risk
A good way to reduce volatility and enjoy smoother returns over time is to diversify your investments across and within asset classes. That way, one bad investment or difficult year won't sink your ship.
The most appropriate mix will depend on your age, the timing of your goals and your risk tolerance. You will need cash for emergencies and short-term goals, with enough money in growth assets to last you through your retirement.
Let your savings grow
Rather than sell shares in quality companies in a panic, you could continue to collect your share dividends and reinvest them in more shares or other quality assets. This way, you avoid crystallising short-term paper losses and benefit from the inevitable market recovery.
That's the simple but powerful concept behind superannuation which locks away your savings and all investment earnings until you retire.
When fear is driving markets, it's important to get back to basics and think long term. If you would like to discuss your overall investment strategy, don't hesitate to get in touch.